30 March 2020

Who am I?

My role as course instructor

  • Help you learn the material
  • Help you learn how to ask for help
  • Be a future resource

Who are you?

Introduce yourself

Tell us via Zoom chat:

  1. Your degree program (MS, PhD)

  2. Your school/department

  3. Your area of study (a phrase or short sentence)

What is this course about?

Two major goals in ecology:

1. Infer process from pattern

Process \(\overset{?}{\Rightarrow}\) Pattern

Pattern \(= f(\)Process\()\)

Data \(= f(\)Process\()\)

Data = Process + Noise

Ecological data often have lots of noise

Our challenge is to separate
the signal from the noise

Two major goals in ecology:

1. Infer process from pattern

2. Make predictions

Ecological forecasting

How will [some future scenario] affect
[some ecosystem service]?

General approach

Question \(\rightarrow\) Data \(\rightarrow\) Model \(\rightarrow\) Inference \(\rightarrow\) Prediction

Forms of linear models

Errors Single random process Multiple random processes
Normal Linear Model (LM) Linear Mixed Model (LMM)
Non-normal Generalized Linear Model (GLM) Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM)

Forms of linear models

Learning objectives for the course

By the end of the quarter, students should be able to:

  • Identify an appropriate statistical model based on the data and specific question

  • Understand the assumptions behind a chosen statistical model

  • Use R to fit a variety of linear models to data

  • Evaluate data support for various models and select the most parsimonious model among them

  • Use R Markdown to combine text, equations, code, tables, and figures into reports